IAEA Report: Iran Still Off the Rails

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iaea_iran_300x200.jpgTomorrow, former IAEA Director Mohamed Elbaradei moves from Vienna to Egypt, where many want to see him run for the Presidency in future elections (a tough hill to climb given a million barriers). Elbaradei himself has stated he is interested if genuinely open, free elections were constructed.
The new IAEA Director, Yukiya Amano, has issued one of the first Iran related reports in his tenure — and it’s style of presentation seems more technocratic to me.
Nonetheless, a new report that is being circulated privately and which has come my way is titled “Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement and relevant provisions of Security Council resolutions 1737 (2006), 1747 (2007), 1803 (2008) and 1835 (2008) in the Islamic Republic of Iran”.
Here is a pdf of the report.
And here are the conclusions:

46. While the Agency continues to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran, Iran has not provided the necessary cooperation to permit the Agency to confirm that all nuclear material in Iran is in peaceful activities.
47. Iran is not implementing the requirements contained in the relevant resolutions of the Board of Governors and the Security Council, including implementation of the Additional Protocol, which are essential to building confidence in the exclusively peaceful purpose of its nuclear programme and to resolve outstanding questions. In particular, Iran needs to cooperate in clarifying outstanding issues which give rise to concerns about possible military dimensions to Iran’s nuclear programme, and to
GOV/2010/10 Page 10 implement the modified text of Code 3.1 of the Subsidiary Arrangements General Part on the early provision of design information.
48. Contrary to the relevant resolutions of the Board of Governors and the Security Council, Iran has continued with the operation of PFEP and FEP at Natanz, and the construction of a new enrichment plant at Fordow. Iran has also announced the intention to build ten new enrichment plants. Iran recently began feeding low enriched UF6 produced at FEP into one cascade of PFEP with the aim of enriching it up to 20% in U-235. The period of notice provided by Iran regarding related changes made to PFEP was insufficient for the Agency to adjust the existing safeguards procedures before Iran started to feed the material into PFEP. The Agency’s work to verify FFEP and to understand the original purpose of the facility and the chronology of its design and construction remain ongoing. Iran is not providing access to information such as the original design documentation for FFEP or access to companies involved in the design and construction of the plant.
49. Contrary to the relevant resolutions of the Board of Governors and the Security Council, Iran has also continued with the construction of the IR-40 reactor and related heavy water activities. The Agency has not been permitted to take samples of the heavy water which is stored at UCF, and has not been provided with access to the Heavy Water Production Plant.
50. The Director General requests Iran to take steps towards the full implementation of its Safeguards Agreement and its other obligations, including the implementation of its Additional Protocol.
51. The Director General will continue to report as appropriate.

Bottom line is not surprising: Iran remains in non-compliance and will be a complex challenge.
– Steve Clemons
Update: Here is the latest AP story on this report which highlights concerns that Iran may be working on military applications of its nuclear program.

Comments

32 comments on “IAEA Report: Iran Still Off the Rails

  1. Pat Mason says:

    This report is absolutely UNTRUE! I guess the U.S. FINALLY got one of its lackeys into the helm of the IAEA after YEARS of relentless efforts to co-opt this organization amidst reports from earlier IAEA officials (confirmed by the CIA) that Iran HAS ALWAYS BEEN in FULL COMPLIANCE with ALL IAEA dictates. Iran has continually allowed IAEA officials access to ALL of their nuclear data, UNLIKE ISRAEL which not only DOES NOT allow the same inspections but (unlike Iran) is NOT a member in good standing with the IAEA for NOT signing the ‘Non Nuclear Proliferation Treaty’! This shameful double-standard, hypocrisy, and shilling for WAR makes us no better than the lowest TYRANT in the dingiest back-water nation.

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  2. Pahlavan says:

    We are miscalculating the people’s will in Iran. The reason your green movement went nowhere is because it was totally fabricated, and the resentment toward the hawks support of the riots will take form and intensify if we push for these nasty sanctions. Ahmadinejad clearly won and the more we run away from him or try to stir trouble beneath the surface, the more he’ll succeed. The only way to protect our interests now is to put aside our ego and emotions, and get around the table with them for a truly negotiated and unpretentious compromise.

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  3. nadine says:

    DonS, Flynt Leverett doesn’t take crap for stating that the Iranian government is in charge. He takes the crap for suggesting that the election wasn’t stolen and Ahmedinejad has majority popular support.

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  4. DonS says:

    That’s a fur piece to go. Look at the crap Flynt Leverett takes for just noting the obvious, the Iranian government is in charge. But of course David Frum wouldn’t even let that go by in his blogginthing with Steve without citing all those general strikes in Poland that were precursors to the revolution — the hundreth monkey and all that I suppose — to which Steve nodded assent.
    Anyway, Iran is so obviously evil according to just about every stripe of commentary, that it’s hard for a peace and accommodation narrative to be taken seriously, much less gain traction. Even, I suspect with the Obama folks who supposedly endorse the idea of engagement.
    Washington is a serious town; so ya gotta stay within the parameters of serious to be taken seriously.

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  5. Don Bacon says:

    My first idea is to get one Steve Clemons to please refrain from spinning the anti-Iran war-promotion marketing plan and get down to bed-rock reality, as he does so well in so many other areas such as Cuba and Saudi Arabia.

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  6. DonS says:

    Don, you hit the nail on the head. If left to fall of it’s own weight, quite probably radical theocratic Iran would evolve back towards a moderate nation anxious to embrace prosperity.
    But that’s not in the play book, and particularly not in Israel’s playbook, hence not the US.
    The question resolves into which action prompts which reaction and the West, and the US in particular, is not good at making honest gestures of peace and accommodation. Iran has tremendous strengths which allow it to confront American exceptionalist posture with their own bravado.
    If Obama would only believe in his own narrative and take risks for peace and accommodation, sustained over a long enough period of time, we might get somewhere. But it’s hard to write that script when Israel projects it’s own agenda.
    Got any ideas, anyone?

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  7. Don Bacon says:

    Why do Americans hate Iran, a country that impacts them in no way whatsoever, a country that hasn’t threatened nor invaded any country?
    Check out “War Made Easy: How Presidents and Pundits Keep Spinning Us to Death” by Norman Solomon, which according to the blurb “looks at the pro-war propaganda generated by the U.S. government during military interventions, emphasizing the influence of the media upon public opinion.”
    Solomon goes into detail on how the war-spinners survive and truth-tellers die in the media biz, and how marketing experts are able to shape public opinion.

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  8. Pahlavan says:

    WigWag, people ultimately become a product of their environment, in particular the ones who lack emotional IQ. But since you put so much weight in these chest pounding polls, I wonder what percentage of the gene pool or the communities that have an unfavorable impression of Iran, also referred to the eyeranians as sand niggers and camel jockeys?

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  9. ... says:

    polls are used to massage the masses… they are essentially useless in everything except this one thing… people like wigwag are hoping others here are stupid and don’t bother with the specifics of the polls questioning…
    wigwag, who paid for the poll? what was the question asked, and what was missing in the question? most americans have never made it out of their own country and are one of the least traveled group of folks in the world…. too bad they can’t get their military to stay home too…i guess some americans have to experience other parts of the world….

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  10. DonS says:

    “Isn’t it remarkable how out of sync most Washington Note commentators are with the majority of the American public?”
    No wigwag, it’s not remarkable, it’s perfectly consonant, and encouraging.
    I’m kind of surprised you would trot out such a specious argument. TWN commenters tend not to buy the latest Fox news line, at least those commenters who fall outside of the zionista orbit. Many TWN commenters engage the thankless task of countering the AIPAC propagandized government-media juggernaut. Surely you are not trying to argue that the survey, most any survey, represents serious and substantive reflection as opposed to popular whim?
    And I think you should actually take count because, as of late, the zionista mob has step up their infiltration. Perhaps a bonus coupon week for hasbarists.

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  11. Don Bacon says:

    Americans have a low opinion of Iran only because they are bombarded with lies, such as the one that Obama recited time after time in the 2008 campaign, that Iran has a dangerous nuclear weapons program and is the world’s worst terrorism supporter.
    When Americans get the truth, like we do, they believe differently.

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  12. PissedOffAmerican says:

    “Personally I prefer to monitor polls on a global level, and when I notice any significant changes, I modify my opinions and world
    view accordingly. This gives me a daily boost of self-confidence: knowing that my updated views are always in sync with the views of billions of people!”
    Ah, the mindset my Border Collie pictures in his concept of the perfect ewe.
    Its comical that Wig-wag would try the age old ploy of attempting to ostracize those who aren’t running with the herd.
    Those of us not buying the bullshit are a danger to the herders. Hence this racist hasbarist abomination Nadine’s presence here. Unfortunately, Steve’s gracious concept of what it means to be an open host is turning the comment section of this blog into a propaganda mill of one. In all honesty, its destroying the experience for me, and, I believe, for others as well. But then, thats her goal, is it not?

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  13. Outraged American says:

    Worldwide polls done in the last few years show that UsRael is
    considered the greatest threat to peace.
    We here in the US are just Zionist- propagandized dumbf*cks
    that’s all. We can repeat the Great Lie, that Iran is a threat to
    poor, widdle Israel, in our sleep because that’s all we hear when
    we turn on the sorry and shoddy BS that passes for “news” in
    this country.
    But Wig, I wouldn’t crow too much about that poll, because the
    numbers in the US are changing and not in Israel’s favor as
    Americans wake the hell up. Because hell is what we’re going to
    get when we attack Iran, which is when we’re going to see a real
    backlash against Jews (sadly, the many who are innocent as well)
    as the world realizes which country lied them into WW III.

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  14. Paul Norheim says:

    Why limit yourself to an American majority?
    Personally I prefer to monitor polls on a global level, and when I
    notice any significant changes, I modify my opinions and world
    view accordingly. This gives me a daily boost of self-confidence:
    knowing that my updated views are always in sync with the views
    of billions of people!

    Reply

  15. Dan Kervick says:

    You know, sweetness, I don’t remember. I just remember that the accent was on the first syllable.

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  16. Sweetness says:

    What was the word, Dan?

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  17. Dan Kervick says:

    “Isn’t it remarkable how out of sync most Washington Note commentators are with the majority of the American public?”
    I’ve been out of sync with most of the American public my whole life, so I take it in stride by now. I know I was way out of sync with the polls back in 2002 when I didn’t think Iraq posed a serious WMD threat to the United States.
    Just a anecdote to let you know where I’m coming from on the matter of the sacred opinions of the many: When I was in fourth grade my teacher, Mr. Spino, put some two-syllable words on the blackboard and directed the class in an exercise to identify the accented syllable in each word. One of the words was accented on the first syllable, but the kid who answered the question said it was accented on the second syllable. The teacher then asked a second student if she agreed, and she said that, yes, the word was accented on the second syllable. The teacher went on to the next student, and the next, and the next … and they all said that the word was accented on the second syllable.
    By the time he got to me Mr. Spino must have gone through twelve or thirteen students, and they all agreed. Finally, I said that the word was accented on the first syllable; and the teacher said I was right. I learned then and there to trust my own intellectual instincts, and not the waves of social conformity, fear and mental impairment that regularly sweep through crowds.
    From my off-kilter perspective, we live in an emperor with no cloths world, with masses of sheep prodded along by a few outright frauds and bullies, and assisted by a more iffy class of characters called “politicians”: groveling, empty panders who have a desperate need to be loved by the people, who reflect the prejudices of the moment back on the people like mirrors, and who constantly delude themselves with their own plaintive and obsequious bullshit.
    So you can have your polls.

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  18. PissedOffAmerican says:

    “Isn’t it remarkable how out of sync most Washington Note commentators are with the majority of the American public?”
    Not really. We take the time to inform ourselves, and don’t just buy into the absolute horseshit people like yourself, Fox News, and the lying murderous Israeli government is shoveling about Iran.
    BTW, I see Marcus let his guard down, and gave us a glimpse of what he REALLY is. Its actually quite enlightening to see what kinds of people sign on to your and Nadine’s schpiel. Its fairly telling that some of the slimiest people I’ve seen post here seem to be sympathetic to your and Nadine’s narrative.

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  19. WigWag says:

    I posted this at the “Race for Iran.” Perhaps Washington Note readers will enjoy it as well.
    The new Gallup Poll is out asking Americans whether they view other nations favorably or unfavorably. Gallup does this poll every year and they don’t ask about all nations, just nations that are in the news a lot. Here are the results (favorable/unfavorable):
    Canada: 90/6
    Great Britain: 87/7
    Germany: 80/12
    Japan: 77/16
    Israel: 67/25
    India: 66/25
    France: 63/31
    Egypt: 58/29
    Mexico: 49/46
    Russia: 47/45
    China: 42/53
    Saudi Arabia: 35/58
    Cuba: 29/64
    Pakistan: 23/71
    Iraq: 23/73
    Yemen: 21/56
    Palestinian Authority: 20/70
    Afghanistan: 18/79
    North Korea: 14/80
    Iran: 10/85
    Notice which nation is on the bottom of the list; lower even than North Korea?
    Isn’t it remarkable how out of sync most Washington Note commentators are with the majority of the American public?

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  20. Don Bacon says:

    Hillary Clinton in Doha, Qatar
    February 15, 2010
    “We have made it clear — and it’s on the front page of the paper in Doha, what I said yesterday — that Iran, as any country, has a right to peaceful, civil nuclear power. . .we are still hoping that Iran will decide to forgo any nuclear ambitions for nuclear weapons. . .We have to work to take action to try to convince the Iranian government not to pursue nuclear weapons. . .we want the world united in sending an unequivocal message to Iran that, “We will not stand idly by while you pursue a nuclear program that can be used to threaten your neighbor, and even beyond.” And we hope to try to influence the decision making within Iran. And that is our goal.”
    http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2010/02/136690.htm
    The US SecState has made it clear.
    1. Clinton made it clear that Iran, despite US demands and US/UN mandates to halt its enrichment program, has a right to nuclear power.// The NPT Iran signed of course goes a bit further: Nothing in this Treaty shall be interpreted as affecting the inalienable right of all the Parties to the Treaty to develop research, production and use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes without discrimination and in conformity with articles I and II of this Treaty.
    2. Clinton also made it clear that the US hopes that Iran will forgo any ambitions for nuclear weapons, and in the meantime the US has to work convince Iran not to pursue nuclear weapons and influence the decision making within Iran. // Iran, of course, has repeatedly stated its desire to not pursue a nuclear weapons program, and there is absolutely no evidence of one, and Clinton doesn’t claim that there is, and Iran has not threatened its neighbors, so in effect this US goal has already been accomplished.
    Since the US goals made clear by the SecState have been accomplished, it’s time to normalize relations with Iran and remove the sanctioins, isn’t it?

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  21. Pahlavan says:

    IAEA’a director general Youkia Amano is a product of Japan which is a host to a large US military presence, and his new report is a gross contrast to the previous findings by the IAEA’s prior administration which worked on this case far longer than this new Czar. Not to mention our own NIA report ordered by the hawks themselves.
    It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to conclude that the IAEA is no longer an independent organization, nor does it posses the assertiveness and aptitude needed to stand against an elite western group exploiting the organization to political gamesmanship and self serving propaganda.

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  22. samuelburke says:

    Steve, please stop giving credence to these politically motivated
    accusations by lending your good name to these
    miscommuniques.
    what can come out of this type of hyperbole is a greater
    catastrophe than what has befallen the u.s and the poor
    innocent people in iraq and afghanistan.
    “The stark contrast between the treatment of the Iranian and
    South Korean cases by the IAEA Secretariat and its Board of
    Governors is the most dramatic evidence of a politically
    motivated nuclear double standard practiced by the agency and
    its Governing Board, dominated by the United States.”
    http://original.antiwar.com/porter/2009/12/19/iaea-applying-
    a-nuclear-double-standard/

    Reply

  23. Tony C. says:

    “Now that even the IAEA has acknowledged the obvious — Iran is
    working on getting a nuclear warhead — can we agree that the
    2007 NIE estimate was a pile of politicized crap?”
    Right, Nadine. It wouldn’t occur to you that the reality is quite the
    opposite, would it? I mean Mohamed El Baradei, the man who was
    correct about Iraq’s lack of WMDs, is the one whose judgment we
    should be suspicious of, while the new U.S.-backed Yukiya
    Amano, whose pronouncement dovetails so nicely with Hillary’s
    bluster, should be given great heed.
    At least you’re consistent.

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  24. nadine says:

    Now that even the IAEA has acknowledged the obvious — Iran is working on getting a nuclear warhead — can we agree that the 2007 NIE estimate was a pile of politicized crap?

    Reply

  25. WigWag says:

    Wow, it looks like an Iranian attack on Israel will be considered by the Canadian Government to be an attack on Canada.
    This is from yesterday’s Toronto Star,
    Military action against Iran still on the table, Kent says
    Published On Wed Feb 17, 2010
    OTTAWA–An attack on Israel would be considered an attack on Canada, junior foreign minister Peter Kent says, suggesting that pre-emptive action may be needed against Iran.
    “Prime Minister (Stephen) Harper has made it quite clear for some time now and has regularly stated that an attack on Israel would be considered an attack on Canada, said Kent, minister of state for foreign affairs (Americas)…
    “I think the realization that it’s a dangerous situation that has been there for some time. It’s a matter of timing and it’s a matter of how long we can wait without taking more serious pre-emptive action.”
    He said military action, while a long shot, is still on the table.
    Last week, Foreign Affairs Minister Lawrence Cannon refused to answer a question on whether Canada would support military action against Iran by the United States or Israel.

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  26. erichwwk says:

    Don:
    Thanks for clarifying the differences between legitimate and illegitimate non-compliance issues. When the US reneged on its treaty agreements, Iran withdraw the agreements it had offered on its own volition. It appears the new IAEA head is not as careful in conveying this distinction as was Elbaradei.

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  27. TonyForesta says:

    Nothing like a great big costly bloody war to
    increase industrial production and tug the flailing
    economy out of the pit. Let the games begin!!!

    Reply

  28. DonS says:

    ‘And Joe Biden is getting amusing again.’ (Don B)
    ‘”We have the support of everyone from Russia to Europe. And I believe we’ll get the support of China to continue to impose sanctions
    ‘And the fact is that Iran’s nuclear program has the support of nearly everyone not cowed by the US, including the 125-nation Non Aligned Movement.’
    Bush admin: “We make our own reality”
    Obama admin: “What Bush said”

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  29. Don Bacon says:

    And Joe Biden is getting amusing again.
    “We have the support of everyone from Russia to Europe. And I believe we’ll get the support of China to continue to impose sanctions on Iran to isolate them, to make clear that in fact they cannot move forward,” Biden said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” program.–Reuters, 14 Feb, 2010
    “Everyone from Russia to Europe” — that’s a good one. Actually, Joe, Iran is in Asia. Asians at the moment are moving forward with their economies, and while they’re not well-represented in the UN, they need a lot of oil.
    Iran ranks #3 in oil reserves and #2 in production, exports much of what it produces and is the fourth-largest crude oil exporter in the world. Chief destinations ranked: Japan, China, India (all three huge), South Korea, Italy, Spain, France, South Africa, Netherlands, & Greece.
    And the fact is that Iran’s nuclear program has the support of nearly everyone not cowed by the US, including the 125-nation Non Aligned Movement.
    Statement by the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) at the IAEA Board of Governors Meeting, Vienna, Austria; June 2009
    “NAM reaffirms the basic and inalienable right of all states to develop research, production and use of atomic energy for peaceful purposes, without any discrimination and in conformity with their respective legal obligations. Therefore, nothing should be interpreted in a way as inhibiting or restricting the right of states to develop atomic energy for peaceful purposes. States’ choices and decisions, including those of the Islamic Republic of Iran, in the field of peaceful uses of nuclear technology and its fuel cycle policies must be respected.”

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  30. Don Bacon says:

    Iran is not off any rails.
    The IAEA has complained that Iran moved ahead with 20-percent uranium enrichment without changing its safeguards agreement, and further speculated without any justification about the purposes of Iran’s legal nuclear program. Nuclear weapons require 90-percent enriched uranium. Iran’s uranium enrichment activities continue to be under full IAEA surveillance.
    UN Security Council demands that Iran halt all enrichment are in violation of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) signed by Iran, and Iran is justified in its noncompliance with these demands.
    The three important points to know:
    1. Iran is fully justified in continuing its civilian nuclear program, as Obama and Clinton have recently confirmed in statements.
    2. The ONLY function of the IAEA, according to the NPT treaty, is “for the exclusive purpose of verification of the fulfillment of its obligations assumed under this Treaty with a view to preventing diversion of nuclear energy from peaceful uses to nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices.” All other IAEA speculations and all other IAEA political activities related to illegal UNSC-mandated orders are extralegal.
    3. Iran has been continually found by the IAEA to be in compliance with its obligation to prevent diversion of nuclear fuel to nuclear weapons.
    NPT: http://www.fas.org/nuke/control/npt/text/npt2.htm

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  31. Pahlavan says:

    Iran is non-compliant to what? NPT safeguards written to apply specifically to Iran, or are these safeguards they and everyone else have signed on as protocal for all nations to follow?

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  32. Outraged American says:

    The White House itself shot down claims that Iran was enriching
    at 20%. Takes 90% + to make a bomb, so what the hell are you
    all on about?
    The seven-year-old in my life could do that math 90-20=70.
    And yet, despite that Iran has bent over backwards to cooperate
    –including, in 2003, offering to negotiate on all outstanding
    issues between the US and Iran (this while we constantly threaten
    to make her into a radioactive mud pile) we’re hell bent on
    attacking Iran, or sanctions that anyone sane would view as an
    act of war.
    Or rather our masters in Israel are.
    Two great articles about UsRael’s latest scam to get us into WW
    III, including details about how this warmongering is utter tripe.
    http://tinyurl.com/ye3567y
    http://tinyurl.com/ybyf7

    Reply

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